Preliminary assessment of operation corner

William Graham, Niall Hamilton-Smith, Richard Kjellgren

Research output: Book/ReportCommissioned report

Abstract

Executive Summary
•This is a progress report, with data covering the time between February 2019 and October 2019. As such, more reports will follow as more data becomes available.

•This report analyses the outcomes of Operation Corner by focusing on the profiles of the 47 individuals involved, their trajectories of engagement, and their behavioural patterns following intervention.

•The analysis suggests that Operation Corner is most successful at engaging vulnerable individuals at an early stage of being caught up in organised crime. Similarly, it also seems that it is effective at establishing trust and affecting change over time, despite working with individuals with highly complex support needs.

•Five profiles were identified: (a) engagers; (b) non-engagers; (c) cuckooing victims; (d) people with mental health disorders; and (e) prisoners. These profiles were related to differences in engagement levels and behaviours associated with being an accused or a suspect in the periods prior and following intervention.

•There has been a steady increase in individuals engaging across the three time points (40%; 47%; 49%). Nevertheless, there are also increasing rates of individuals not engaging (19%; 30%; 36%).

•Fluctuations in engagement levels seem attributable to chaotic circumstances associated with substance misuse.

•There is a smaller number of incorrigible offenders seemingly reluctant to engage with services. It is conceivable that it will take longer to establish trust and affect positive change with this population.
•Individuals engaging from an early onset tend to be more stable in their level of engagement.

•Intervention appears to have had a major effect upon behavioural patterns in regards to being flagged as an accused/suspect between the two time points, which, to some extent, suggests that individuals are desisting from criminal activity or changing their offending behaviour.

•Different rates of being flagged as an accused/suspect can be observed for the six profiles, OCG affiliation, levels of engagement, and trajectories. Behaviours prior to intervention were structured along future engagement trajectories, e.g. positive trajectories had lower involvement with criminal activity than negative trajectories, for both time points, and inconsistent offenders showing higher rates prior and following intervention.

•If the patterns identified are continuous, it can be expected that rates of engagement will increase, however, there might still be fluctuations attributable to the complex circumstances facing individuals. Whilst challenging to engage the most incorrigible offenders, continuing to establish trust seems key.

•Future data collection efforts will shed more light on some of these complexities, and it can be expected that the patterns will become increasingly clear. Nevertheless, at this point in time, it is reasonable to assume that the trajectories for the majority of individuals would be significantly worse without a coordinated partnership approach, and this is perhaps most evident in relation to the most vulnerable of individuals.
Original languageEnglish
Number of pages40
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2020

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Graham, W., Hamilton-Smith, N., & Kjellgren, R. (2020). Preliminary assessment of operation corner.